| Final model (tuned TF–IDF + all numeric) |
0.7413 |
0.8046 |
0.7219 |
0.4481 |
0.3249 |
| Logistic (price + WSB numeric) |
0.6772 |
0.5981 |
0.4298 |
0.2792 |
0.2068 |
| Baseline: always 1 (big move) |
0.1455 |
0.5000 |
1.0000 |
0.2540 |
0.1455 |
| Logistic (price-only) |
0.5296 |
0.5823 |
0.5365 |
0.2492 |
0.1623 |
| Logistic (WSB numeric-only) |
0.7683 |
0.5773 |
0.2360 |
0.2286 |
0.2216 |
| Logistic (TF–IDF text + basic numeric) |
0.6571 |
0.5219 |
0.3146 |
0.2107 |
0.1584 |
| Logistic (TF–IDF text-only) |
0.6453 |
0.5218 |
0.3146 |
0.2051 |
0.1522 |
| Baseline: always 0 (no big move) |
0.8545 |
0.5000 |
0.0000 |
0.0000 |
0.0000 |